Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Figueirense with a 17.9% chance, Palmeiras beat Flamengo with a 17.7% chance, and Botafogo beat Internacional with a 16.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 40.7% | 18.1% | −22.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 48.3% | 28.5% | −19.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 15.7% | 33.8% | +18.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 51.3% | 33.6% | −17.7 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 34.8% | 17.5% | −17.3 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 43.6% | 26.6% | −17.0 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 33.8% | 16.8% | −17.0 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 39.8% | 56.2% | +16.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 15.1% | 31.1% | +16.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 47.2% | 33.3% | −13.9 |
