Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Santos with a 15.0% chance and Atletico-MG beat Paraná with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 37.4% | 23.5% | −13.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 20.7% | 34.5% | +13.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 84.1% | 72.1% | −12.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 35.4% | 46.7% | +11.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 20.7% | 31.7% | +11.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 63.4% | 73.7% | +10.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 12.5% | 22.2% | +9.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 16.3% | 7.4% | −8.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 37.3% | 28.5% | −8.8 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 43.8% | 35.1% | −8.7 |
