Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid sits 2nd in the table, with 22 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champion: 20.1%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 3.4 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 2.8% and 21.0%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (83.5%), Europa League (7.7%), and Conference League (3.8%). Next match: against Deportivo La Coruña, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Champion to 23.6%; a loss, to 14.3%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 20.1% | 83.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/19/2026 | 19.8% | 83.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | <0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 20.9% | 83.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | <0.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 21.0% | 85.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | <0.1% |
| 10/16/2026 | 18.2% | 75.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| 10/12/2026 | 16.7% | 75.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 17.3% | 75.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| 10/10/2026 | 18.7% | 77.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/09/2026 | 16.5% | 68.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| 09/20/2026 | 16.0% | 68.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.2% |
| 09/19/2026 | 8.9% | 54.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 0.4% |
| 09/18/2026 | 9.3% | 50.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 0.4% |
| 09/17/2026 | 9.2% | 50.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 0.4% |
| 09/16/2026 | 9.5% | 52.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 0.4% |
| 09/15/2026 | 7.0% | 37.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| 09/14/2026 | 6.8% | 36.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 7.5% | 39.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.9% | 19.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| 09/11/2026 | 3.3% | 19.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| 09/07/2026 | 3.0% | 19.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| 09/06/2026 | 2.8% | 20.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| 09/05/2026 | 3.2% | 20.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| 09/04/2026 | 11.1% | 43.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| 09/03/2026 | 9.8% | 42.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| 08/31/2026 | 10.4% | 40.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| 08/30/2026 | 10.7% | 43.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 13.4% | 45.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| 08/28/2026 | 4.8% | 24.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| 08/27/2026 | 5.2% | 26.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| 08/26/2026 | 5.6% | 27.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| 08/25/2026 | 6.9% | 28.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| 08/24/2026 | 6.7% | 29.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| 08/23/2026 | 6.4% | 28.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| 08/22/2026 | 12.0% | 41.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| 08/21/2026 | 13.8% | 41.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| 08/20/2026 | 13.6% | 40.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| 08/19/2026 | 12.5% | 39.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| 08/17/2026 | 5.0% | 20.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 13.5% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.6% | 19.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 13.0% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.6% | 19.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 14.1% |
What the next match is worth
Atlético Madrid's chance of each objective depending on the result against Deportivo La Coruña
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champion | 20.1% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 14.3% |
| Champions League | 83.5% | 87.4% | 83.0% | 78.7% |
| Europa League | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% |
| Conference League | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
