Fortaleza
Fortaleza sits 4th in the table, with 60 points from 34 matches. The main open race is Champion: 12.2%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 8.2 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 0.6% and 27.3%. Other objectives with a real chance: Promotion (70.8%). Next match: against Ponte Preta, away, in round 35. A win takes the chance of Promotion to 85.4%; a loss, to 53.8%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Promotion | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | 12.2% | 70.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/19/2026 | 11.5% | 70.5% | <0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 12.4% | 71.3% | <0.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 10.0% | 76.6% | <0.1% |
| 10/16/2026 | 8.3% | 75.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/13/2026 | 4.0% | 52.3% | <0.1% |
| 10/12/2026 | 3.7% | 52.9% | <0.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 7.0% | 64.5% | <0.1% |
| 10/08/2026 | 9.2% | 63.9% | <0.1% |
| 10/07/2026 | 10.0% | 63.2% | <0.1% |
| 10/06/2026 | 5.1% | 42.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/03/2026 | 5.0% | 43.6% | <0.1% |
| 10/02/2026 | 10.9% | 57.1% | <0.1% |
| 10/01/2026 | 14.1% | 60.3% | <0.1% |
| 09/29/2026 | 14.3% | 62.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/28/2026 | 14.0% | 61.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/27/2026 | 15.1% | 64.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/26/2026 | 23.6% | 75.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/25/2026 | 24.1% | 76.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/22/2026 | 27.3% | 76.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | 26.7% | 76.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/19/2026 | 15.7% | 57.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/18/2026 | 12.4% | 53.8% | <0.1% |
| 09/16/2026 | 11.2% | 52.8% | <0.1% |
| 09/15/2026 | 12.0% | 53.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 11.7% | 52.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 10.5% | 51.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/11/2026 | 12.4% | 60.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/10/2026 | 12.0% | 60.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/09/2026 | 14.0% | 67.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/08/2026 | 9.9% | 49.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/06/2026 | 10.1% | 48.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/05/2026 | 8.8% | 48.8% | <0.1% |
| 09/04/2026 | 4.6% | 32.7% | 0.1% |
| 09/03/2026 | 4.5% | 33.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/01/2026 | 4.4% | 33.7% | 0.1% |
| 08/31/2026 | 3.9% | 33.4% | 0.1% |
| 08/30/2026 | 6.7% | 42.7% | 0.1% |
| 08/29/2026 | 6.4% | 46.6% | 0.1% |
| 08/28/2026 | 7.6% | 47.5% | <0.1% |
| 08/25/2026 | 7.5% | 48.5% | <0.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 9.3% | 48.7% | 0.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 10.1% | 50.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.1% | 28.1% | 0.4% |
| 08/20/2026 | 3.1% | 28.5% | 0.4% |
| 08/19/2026 | 3.1% | 30.0% | 0.5% |
| 08/18/2026 | 5.2% | 36.9% | 0.2% |
| 08/16/2026 | 5.4% | 37.2% | 0.2% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.9% | 34.6% | 0.2% |
| 08/14/2026 | 7.6% | 39.8% | 0.2% |
| 08/11/2026 | 8.0% | 42.5% | 0.2% |
| 08/10/2026 | 8.5% | 43.5% | 0.2% |
| 08/09/2026 | 9.4% | 43.9% | 0.3% |
| 08/08/2026 | 9.2% | 49.9% | 0.3% |
| 08/07/2026 | 8.6% | 49.3% | 0.2% |
| 07/29/2026 | 8.8% | 46.7% | 0.1% |
| 07/28/2026 | 4.1% | 29.8% | 0.8% |
| 07/27/2026 | 4.6% | 32.5% | 0.8% |
| 07/26/2026 | 3.4% | 29.2% | 1.0% |
| 07/24/2026 | 2.7% | 30.0% | 0.8% |
| 07/23/2026 | 2.2% | 27.2% | 0.7% |
| 07/22/2026 | 2.2% | 28.8% | 0.5% |
| 07/21/2026 | 7.0% | 48.5% | 0.3% |
| 07/18/2026 | 8.3% | 47.3% | 0.2% |
| 07/17/2026 | 3.4% | 27.5% | 0.9% |
| 07/16/2026 | 4.2% | 28.9% | 1.1% |
| 07/13/2026 | 4.3% | 29.2% | 1.1% |
| 07/12/2026 | 3.9% | 27.9% | 1.1% |
| 07/10/2026 | 9.3% | 44.8% | 0.2% |
| 07/08/2026 | 8.6% | 42.3% | 0.2% |
| 07/07/2026 | 9.3% | 43.9% | 0.2% |
| 07/06/2026 | 10.5% | 45.8% | 0.2% |
| 07/05/2026 | 10.9% | 46.2% | 0.2% |
| 07/04/2026 | 10.9% | 45.0% | 0.3% |
| 07/03/2026 | 12.4% | 46.3% | 0.4% |
| 07/02/2026 | 6.8% | 32.3% | 1.3% |
| 06/30/2026 | 6.8% | 32.7% | 1.2% |
| 06/28/2026 | 7.1% | 33.7% | 1.2% |
| 06/27/2026 | 2.8% | 19.3% | 4.5% |
| 06/26/2026 | 3.7% | 20.6% | 4.8% |
| 06/25/2026 | 3.0% | 19.8% | 4.9% |
| 06/23/2026 | 3.1% | 19.9% | 4.8% |
| 06/22/2026 | 3.6% | 20.6% | 5.1% |
| 06/21/2026 | 3.7% | 22.2% | 5.1% |
| 06/20/2026 | 4.6% | 24.9% | 4.1% |
| 06/19/2026 | 5.0% | 25.5% | 3.1% |
| 06/16/2026 | 4.5% | 22.6% | 3.4% |
| 06/14/2026 | 11.4% | 42.6% | 0.8% |
| 06/12/2026 | 7.3% | 35.9% | 0.7% |
| 06/11/2026 | 7.5% | 36.5% | 0.5% |
| 06/10/2026 | 6.5% | 33.6% | 0.7% |
| 06/09/2026 | 6.9% | 34.4% | 0.6% |
| 06/08/2026 | 2.8% | 18.4% | 2.8% |
| 06/07/2026 | 3.0% | 19.4% | 3.0% |
| 06/06/2026 | 3.3% | 21.1% | 3.0% |
| 06/05/2026 | 3.4% | 21.2% | 3.5% |
| 06/01/2026 | 3.6% | 21.2% | 3.2% |
| 05/31/2026 | 3.7% | 22.0% | 3.4% |
| 05/30/2026 | 3.5% | 20.7% | 3.3% |
| 05/25/2026 | 8.5% | 36.9% | 1.2% |
| 05/24/2026 | 8.8% | 38.5% | 1.3% |
| 05/23/2026 | 10.2% | 41.6% | 1.5% |
| 05/22/2026 | 5.1% | 25.6% | 5.4% |
| 05/18/2026 | 6.0% | 27.4% | 6.1% |
| 05/17/2026 | 6.3% | 27.9% | 5.1% |
| 05/16/2026 | 13.4% | 45.4% | 1.6% |
| 05/12/2026 | 13.0% | 46.1% | 1.9% |
| 05/10/2026 | 13.3% | 47.4% | 1.9% |
| 05/09/2026 | 20.7% | 59.2% | 1.2% |
| 05/04/2026 | 21.1% | 58.8% | 0.8% |
| 05/03/2026 | 20.4% | 57.7% | 1.2% |
| 05/02/2026 | 21.4% | 57.4% | 0.9% |
| 04/27/2026 | 12.5% | 41.8% | 2.8% |
| 04/26/2026 | 12.8% | 42.1% | 3.0% |
| 04/25/2026 | 19.2% | 53.8% | 2.1% |
| 04/24/2026 | 18.6% | 54.3% | 1.8% |
| 04/23/2026 | 19.3% | 55.0% | 1.8% |
| 04/19/2026 | 19.6% | 53.9% | 1.9% |
| 04/18/2026 | 10.3% | 36.8% | 4.9% |
| 04/12/2026 | 10.7% | 36.3% | 4.6% |
| 04/11/2026 | 4.8% | 21.0% | 12.0% |
| 04/10/2026 | 3.9% | 20.1% | 11.1% |
| 04/07/2026 | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.6% |
| 04/05/2026 | 4.1% | 18.6% | 12.0% |
| 04/04/2026 | 3.0% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| 04/02/2026 | 0.8% | 6.2% | 30.3% |
| 04/01/2026 | 0.6% | 6.3% | 33.9% |
| 03/31/2026 | 0.8% | 6.1% | 35.5% |
| 03/22/2026 | 0.9% | 6.4% | 33.9% |
| 03/21/2026 | 1.3% | 7.8% | 38.2% |
What the next match is worth
Fortaleza's chance of each objective depending on the result against Ponte Preta
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promotion | 70.8% | 85.4% | 67.4% | 53.8% |
| Champion | 12.2% | 21.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
