Bournemouth
Bournemouth sits 15th in the table, with 6 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 3.9%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 3.2 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 0.6% and 19.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (3.4%), Conference League (3.7%), and Relegation (19.9%). Next match: against Manchester United, away, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 14.1%; a loss, to 25.3%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 19.9% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 18.8% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 49.9% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 47.3% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 45.8% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 45.2% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 33.4% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 21.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 18.9% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 19.3% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 18.6% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 20.2% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 20.8% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 20.7% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 20.9% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 20.9% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 22.8% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 23.1% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 25.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 26.2% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 27.3% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.5% | 17.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 11.7% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.7% | 19.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 14.3% |
What the next match is worth
Bournemouth's chance of each objective depending on the result against Manchester United
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 19.9% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 25.3% |
| Champions League | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Conference League | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Europa League | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
