Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 9 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
MiddlesbroughRelegation55.3%40.1%−15.2
Manchester UnitedChampions League63.9%51.8%−12.1
Leeds UnitedChampions League50.6%61.1%+10.5
LiverpoolChampions League26.6%35.8%+9.3
Leicester CityRelegation33.3%24.4%−8.9
Manchester UnitedChampion22.7%13.8%−8.8
West HamRelegation25.6%34.3%+8.7
ArsenalChampions League61.3%69.4%+8.1
FulhamRelegation25.6%33.5%+7.9
Derby CountyRelegation30.8%38.5%+7.7
Home 31.4%
Draw 30.4%
Away 38.2%
Home 40.7%
Draw 29.5%
Away 29.8%
Home 46.0%
Draw 27.6%
Away 26.3%
Home 21.2%
Draw 25.0%
Away 53.8%
Home 34.5%
Draw 31.8%
Away 33.7%
Home 32.6%
Draw 31.2%
Away 36.2%
Home 33.6%
Draw 31.8%
Away 34.6%
Home 36.4%
Draw 31.1%
Away 32.5%
Home 49.4%
Draw 26.5%
Away 24.1%
Home 70.8%
Draw 19.8%
Away 9.5%