Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 40.4% | 26.6% | −13.9 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 20.8% | 32.6% | +11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 52.9% | 63.9% | +11.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 44.7% | 55.3% | +10.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 14.6% | 22.7% | +8.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 13.2% | 21.3% | +8.1 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 15.9% | 8.8% | −7.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 19.5% | 26.5% | +7.0 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 57.0% | 50.6% | −6.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 11.4% | 16.9% | +5.5 |
