Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Leicester City with a 23.0% chance, Tottenham beat Sunderland with a 20.2% chance, Charlton Athletic beat Chelsea with a 18.4% chance, and Newcastle beat Arsenal with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on December 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 2.8% | 53.4% | +50.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 35.8% | 82.4% | +46.5 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 38.5% | 76.7% | +38.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 24.4% | 56.4% | +32.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 7.8% | 35.9% | +28.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 33.5% | 5.8% | −27.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 27.5% | 54.3% | +26.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 40.1% | 17.7% | −22.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 34.3% | 13.0% | −21.3 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 21.5% | 1.7% | −19.8 |
