Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Ipswich Town with a 18.0% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Liverpool with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 27.8% | 41.2% | +13.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.3% | 40.4% | −10.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 34.1% | 44.7% | +10.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 52.4% | 62.9% | +10.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 47.9% | 37.7% | −10.2 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 35.4% | 25.7% | −9.7 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 26.5% | 36.1% | +9.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 23.3% | 15.3% | −8.0 |
| Everton | Relegation | 18.9% | 11.4% | −7.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.9% | 22.4% | +7.4 |
