Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Arsenal with a 23.0% chance and Fulham beat Sunderland with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on January 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Relegation | 25.0% | 72.2% | +47.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 26.0% | 69.8% | +43.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 12.7% | 54.0% | +41.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 42.1% | 4.3% | −37.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 50.7% | 83.9% | +33.2 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 30.7% | 1.1% | −29.6 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 25.2% | <0.1% | −25.2 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 2.7% | 25.9% | +23.2 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.6% | 38.2% | +21.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 64.5% | 85.8% | +21.3 |
