Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on March 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 47.4% | 27.3% | −20.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 16.0% | 6.4% | −9.6 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 87.9% | 78.4% | −9.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 12.0% | 21.5% | +9.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 16.5% | 24.0% | +7.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 27.9% | 35.3% | +7.5 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 10.3% | 3.7% | −6.7 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 11.3% | 17.5% | +6.2 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 77.7% | 82.9% | +5.2 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 79.5% | 84.7% | +5.2 |
