Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Ipswich Town with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 29.0% | 47.8% | +18.8 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 21.9% | 10.3% | −11.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 80.9% | 92.3% | +11.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 19.0% | 7.7% | −11.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 39.3% | 28.3% | −10.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 26.8% | 16.3% | −10.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 66.4% | 72.8% | +6.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 5.8% | 11.3% | +5.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 11.2% | 16.0% | +4.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 94.0% | 98.7% | +4.7 |
