Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Leicester City with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 19 (before the first match) against those on March 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 45.5% | 14.7% | −30.8 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 4.8% | 26.5% | +21.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.3% | 48.4% | +21.1 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 69.2% | 84.1% | +14.9 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 16.7% | 3.9% | −12.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 25.2% | 37.3% | +12.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 64.0% | 73.5% | +9.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 86.8% | 94.6% | +7.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 90.7% | 98.5% | +7.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 18.2% | 10.6% | −7.6 |
