Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Charlton Athletic with a 14.5% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Leicester City with a 12.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 51.0% | 30.1% | −21.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.4% | 64.5% | +14.1 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 15.5% | 26.0% | +10.5 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 35.3% | 25.2% | −10.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 40.7% | 50.7% | +10.0 |
| Everton | Relegation | 27.5% | 18.3% | −9.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 18.4% | 27.2% | +8.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 16.3% | 24.2% | +7.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 32.4% | 25.0% | −7.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 19.4% | 12.8% | −6.6 |
