Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Southampton with a 23.8% chance, Fulham beat West Ham with a 21.6% chance, and Charlton Athletic beat Arsenal with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 68.9% | 55.1% | −13.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 16.7% | 28.5% | +11.8 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 22.0% | 33.4% | +11.3 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 60.7% | 71.9% | +11.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 54.0% | 43.8% | −10.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 70.4% | 80.1% | +9.6 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 27.8% | 18.2% | −9.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 33.2% | 42.8% | +9.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 66.4% | 57.0% | −9.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 26.1% | 17.6% | −8.5 |
