Round 11

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Ipswich Town with a 17.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
LiverpoolChampions League59.5%70.4%+10.9
FulhamRelegation38.4%27.8%−10.6
LiverpoolChampion15.1%22.0%+6.9
West HamRelegation17.0%10.8%−6.3
SouthamptonRelegation27.1%33.2%+6.1
NewcastleChampions League10.7%16.7%+6.0
NewcastleEuropa League14.5%20.1%+5.5
ChelseaChampions League28.1%23.6%−4.5
Ipswich TownRelegation8.0%12.2%+4.2
Aston VillaChampions League49.9%54.0%+4.1
Home 50.8%
Draw 26.0%
Away 23.1%
Home 68.2%
Draw 20.5%
Away 11.2%
Home 36.0%
Draw 31.2%
Away 32.8%
Home 36.6%
Draw 31.0%
Away 32.4%
Home 39.0%
Draw 30.1%
Away 30.9%
Home 31.7%
Draw 30.6%
Away 37.7%
Home 57.3%
Draw 23.9%
Away 18.8%
Home 58.8%
Draw 23.4%
Away 17.8%
Home 20.0%
Draw 24.5%
Away 55.6%
Home 54.1%
Draw 24.9%
Away 21.0%