Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Ipswich Town with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 57.0% | 67.9% | +10.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 42.8% | 52.6% | +9.8 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 16.9% | 25.7% | +8.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 76.6% | 68.5% | −8.0 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 28.1% | 20.4% | −7.8 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 71.9% | 64.5% | −7.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 28.5% | 21.2% | −7.4 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 53.5% | 60.9% | +7.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 18.9% | 11.7% | −7.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 18.2% | 11.5% | −6.7 |
