Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Manchester United with a 6.5% chance and Tottenham beat Newcastle with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.6% | 58.2% | +16.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 49.6% | 60.3% | +10.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 79.0% | 69.3% | −9.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.9% | 28.4% | +9.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 30.5% | 21.6% | −9.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 34.9% | 26.0% | −8.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 22.6% | 15.1% | −7.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 51.0% | 43.5% | −7.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 27.9% | 20.7% | −7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 6.7% | 13.6% | +6.9 |
