Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Wimbledon with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 17.9% | 45.7% | +27.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 78.3% | 54.3% | −24.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 89.6% | 100% | +10.4 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 17.2% | 7.5% | −9.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 5.2% | 0% | −5.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 94.8% | 100% | +5.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 3.7% | 0% | −3.7 |
