Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Aston Villa with a 14.3% chance, Southampton beat West Ham with a 21.1% chance, and Leicester City beat Derby County with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 19 (before the first match) against those on April 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 93.5% | 78.2% | −15.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 82.5% | 97.5% | +15.0 |
| Everton | Relegation | 2.3% | 16.7% | +14.4 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 26.7% | 13.0% | −13.7 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 12.8% | 3.9% | −8.9 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 91.2% | 98.9% | +7.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 18.5% | 14.3% | −4.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 81.5% | 85.7% | +4.2 |
