Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Leeds United with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 23 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Relegation | 26.3% | 15.3% | −11.0 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 78.0% | 88.7% | +10.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 82.5% | 92.6% | +10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 27.9% | 19.2% | −8.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 10.3% | 19.0% | +8.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 74.5% | 83.1% | +8.6 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 12.4% | 20.4% | +8.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 34.7% | 42.6% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 18.9% | 12.8% | −6.2 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 92.8% | 87.9% | −4.9 |
