Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Leicester City with a 13.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 17 (before the first match) against those on March 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 26.3% | 92.6% | +66.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 26.0% | 85.8% | +59.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 10.9% | 63.5% | +52.7 |
| Everton | Relegation | 60.7% | 22.2% | −38.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 46.8% | 9.9% | −36.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.3% | 0.1% | −28.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 25.1% | 0.1% | −25.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 27.9% | 10.1% | −17.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 30.8% | 46.8% | +16.0 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 35.9% | 20.6% | −15.2 |
