Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Arsenal with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 42.3% | 27.9% | −14.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 25.1% | 35.9% | +10.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 16.5% | 27.2% | +10.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 20.7% | 11.0% | −9.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 35.5% | 26.1% | −9.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 16.3% | 25.0% | +8.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 22.1% | 29.8% | +7.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 62.6% | 69.8% | +7.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 34.4% | 27.7% | −6.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 30.7% | 36.9% | +6.2 |
