Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Racing Santander with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Relegation play-off | 26.0% | 19.5% | −6.5 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 12.6% | 6.8% | −5.8 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 14.6% | 20.2% | +5.7 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 22.0% | 26.9% | +4.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 71.9% | 76.8% | +4.9 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 11.5% | 6.8% | −4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.4% | 67.8% | +4.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 9.4% | 13.4% | +4.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 18.7% | 14.7% | −4.0 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 15.1% | 19.0% | +3.9 |
