Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Salamanca beat Valencia with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca | Relegation | 73.7% | 57.9% | −15.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 25.6% | 16.9% | −8.7 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 18.1% | 26.2% | +8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation play-off | 13.5% | 6.3% | −7.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 28.7% | 35.4% | +6.7 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 6.8% | 12.8% | +6.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 64.3% | 69.9% | +5.6 |
| Valencia | Relegation play-off | 24.8% | 30.3% | +5.5 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 9.9% | 14.8% | +5.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 37.4% | 42.0% | +4.6 |
