Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Celta Vigo with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 17 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.9% | 32.0% | +10.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 41.9% | 34.3% | −7.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 66.8% | 60.0% | −6.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 23.3% | 16.9% | −6.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 8.3% | 13.8% | +5.5 |
| Valencia | Relegation play-off | 19.5% | 24.8% | +5.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation play-off | 18.7% | 13.5% | −5.1 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 16.7% | 21.8% | +5.0 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 10.8% | 6.1% | −4.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 19.8% | 15.7% | −4.1 |
