Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mérida beat Real Sociedad with a 16.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 8 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 39.1% | 25.9% | −13.1 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 45.6% | 55.2% | +9.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 28.2% | 34.1% | +5.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 15.7% | 11.1% | −4.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 12.1% | 7.8% | −4.3 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 28.4% | 24.1% | −4.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 69.5% | 65.3% | −4.2 |
| Espanyol | Champion | 14.1% | 18.2% | +4.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 14.1% | 18.2% | +4.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation play-off | 9.3% | 13.2% | +3.9 |
