Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Real Zaragoza with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 65.3% | 53.7% | −11.6 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 25.9% | 18.6% | −7.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 11.0% | 17.8% | +6.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 25.3% | 18.6% | −6.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 5.3% | 10.8% | +5.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation play-off | 13.2% | 7.8% | −5.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 17.6% | 22.8% | +5.2 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 27.4% | 22.4% | −5.0 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 6.5% | 11.1% | +4.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 14.6% | 10.1% | −4.5 |
