Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Real Oviedo with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation play-off | 56.0% | 94.0% | +38.0 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 65.4% | >99.9% | +34.7 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 28.9% | <0.1% | −28.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 45.4% | 21.1% | −24.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation play-off | 55.4% | 73.4% | +18.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 12.8% | 0% | −12.8 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 11.4% | <0.1% | −11.4 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 10.4% | 0% | −10.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 10.2% | 0% | −10.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 93.5% | 100% | +6.5 |
