Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation play-off | 73.4% | 100% | +26.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 21.1% | 0% | −21.1 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation play-off | 8.1% | 0% | −8.1 |
| Albacete | Relegation play-off | 94.0% | 100% | +6.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 95.4% | 100% | +4.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 95.4% | 100% | +4.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 95.4% | 100% | +4.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 4.6% | 0% | −4.6 |
| Valencia | Champion | 4.6% | 0% | −4.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 4.6% | 0% | −4.6 |