Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Real Betis with a 16.1% chance and Racing Santander beat Real Madrid with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 24 (before the first match) against those on March 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Europa League | 66.0% | 81.0% | +15.0 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 32.7% | 19.6% | −13.1 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 20.0% | 8.9% | −11.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 80.4% | 90.6% | +10.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 80.4% | 90.6% | +10.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 18.9% | 9.3% | −9.5 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 76.2% | 85.1% | +8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 13.2% | 4.7% | −8.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 13.2% | 4.7% | −8.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation play-off | 11.0% | 18.3% | +7.4 |
