Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Athletic Club with a 20.0% chance and Real Oviedo beat Real Madrid with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 23.2% | 16.1% | −7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champion | 12.3% | 5.8% | −6.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 12.3% | 5.8% | −6.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 18.8% | 12.5% | −6.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 19.6% | 13.8% | −5.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 12.4% | 6.7% | −5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 12.5% | 6.8% | −5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 12.5% | 6.8% | −5.6 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 60.1% | 65.7% | +5.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 9.3% | 3.7% | −5.6 |
