Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation play-off | 20.7% | 12.5% | −8.2 |
| Espanyol | Champion | 15.8% | 21.7% | +5.9 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 15.8% | 21.7% | +5.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 56.7% | 62.2% | +5.5 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 9.0% | 3.8% | −5.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 14.7% | 19.3% | +4.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 8.2% | 12.5% | +4.3 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 65.7% | 61.5% | −4.1 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 24.7% | 28.4% | +3.6 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 14.9% | 11.4% | −3.5 |