Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Salamanca with a 23.4% chance and Real Zaragoza beat Tenerife with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 18 (before the first match) against those on February 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 37.5% | 20.3% | −17.2 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 48.0% | 63.2% | +15.2 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 32.7% | 42.4% | +9.7 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 20.1% | 10.7% | −9.4 |
| Compostela | Europa League | 37.7% | 29.3% | −8.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 48.0% | 54.0% | +6.1 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 18.8% | 24.5% | +5.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 16.7% | 11.1% | −5.7 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 23.7% | 29.3% | +5.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 65.8% | 70.7% | +4.9 |
