Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Espanyol with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 11 (before the first match) against those on February 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Europa League | 46.6% | 32.7% | −13.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 61.3% | 48.0% | −13.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 25.3% | 37.5% | +12.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 53.8% | 65.8% | +12.0 |
| Compostela | Europa League | 25.9% | 37.7% | +11.9 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 28.0% | 18.3% | −9.7 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 12.8% | 20.1% | +7.4 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 30.7% | 23.7% | −7.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 77.6% | 84.4% | +6.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 77.6% | 84.4% | +6.8 |
