Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Tenerife with a 19.9% chance and Atlético Madrid beat Valencia with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 10 (before the first match) against those on December 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 36.8% | 19.7% | −17.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 42.5% | 52.1% | +9.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 33.3% | 39.5% | +6.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 33.3% | 39.5% | +6.2 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 23.5% | 17.5% | −6.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 12.6% | 6.6% | −6.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 44.9% | 50.0% | +5.1 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 40.1% | 45.1% | +5.0 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 38.7% | 43.6% | +4.9 |
| Compostela | Europa League | 14.3% | 17.5% | +3.3 |
