Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Londrina beat Sampaio Corrêa with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 62.6% | 40.4% | −22.2 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 47.0% | 63.8% | +16.8 |
| Vitória | Champion | 46.5% | 63.3% | +16.8 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 56.1% | 72.1% | +16.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 20.9% | 33.6% | +12.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 20.4% | 9.8% | −10.6 |
| Sport | Champion | 20.1% | 10.3% | −9.8 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 13.0% | 3.3% | −9.7 |
| CRB | Promotion | 14.0% | 4.7% | −9.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 75.0% | 67.2% | −7.8 |
