Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Promotion | 73.0% | 47.0% | −26.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 43.2% | 20.4% | −22.8 |
| Guarani | Champion | 24.7% | 6.7% | −18.1 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 25.8% | 9.7% | −16.0 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 40.7% | 56.1% | +15.4 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 48.1% | 62.6% | +14.5 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 17.8% | 4.5% | −13.3 |
| Vitória | Champion | 33.2% | 46.5% | +13.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 63.3% | 75.0% | +11.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 80.4% | 90.2% | +9.8 |
