Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 31.3% | 10.1% | −21.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 33.6% | 47.7% | +14.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 9.8% | 22.7% | +12.9 |
| Vitória | Champion | 63.3% | 51.5% | −11.8 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 63.8% | 52.6% | −11.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 67.2% | 58.4% | −8.7 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 6.5% | 14.4% | +7.9 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 72.1% | 64.6% | −7.5 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 10.7% | 18.2% | +7.5 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 91.0% | 97.1% | +6.1 |
