Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo-SP beat Atlético-GO with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 43.8% | 17.8% | −25.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 37.8% | 12.9% | −24.9 |
| CRB | Promotion | 26.1% | 8.2% | −17.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 47.8% | 63.3% | +15.4 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 34.9% | 48.1% | +13.2 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 27.5% | 40.7% | +13.2 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 53.9% | 67.0% | +13.1 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 38.8% | 25.8% | −13.0 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 63.9% | 76.0% | +12.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 32.2% | 43.2% | +11.0 |
