Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 35.2% | 14.7% | −20.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 55.1% | 34.9% | −20.1 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 18.8% | 38.8% | +20.0 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 47.3% | 27.5% | −19.8 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 34.3% | 53.9% | +19.6 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 81.3% | 63.9% | −17.4 |
| Vitória | Champion | 43.3% | 27.3% | −16.0 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 50.5% | 66.0% | +15.5 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 85.4% | 70.5% | −14.9 |
| Guarani | Champion | 10.1% | 22.3% | +12.2 |
