Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 30 (before the first match) against those on August 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 35.4% | 13.2% | −22.2 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 76.0% | 56.5% | −19.4 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 24.6% | 43.4% | +18.8 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 30.2% | 12.6% | −17.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 62.8% | 76.5% | +13.7 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 36.8% | 50.0% | +13.2 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 65.4% | 78.5% | +13.1 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 53.4% | 40.4% | −13.0 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 34.8% | 47.6% | +12.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 22.4% | 11.1% | −11.3 |
