Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 24 (before the first match) against those on July 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Promotion | 36.1% | 15.8% | −20.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 40.4% | 22.4% | −18.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 46.7% | 62.8% | +16.1 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 22.6% | 35.3% | +12.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 33.3% | 45.7% | +12.4 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 63.6% | 76.0% | +12.4 |
| Vitória | Champion | 32.9% | 20.5% | −12.3 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 41.7% | 53.4% | +11.7 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 23.2% | 34.8% | +11.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 75.7% | 65.4% | −10.3 |
