Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Juventude with a 16.7% chance and Londrina beat Vitória with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 11.1% | 37.4% | +26.3 |
| Sport | Champion | 27.8% | 51.6% | +23.7 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 50.0% | 71.7% | +21.7 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 43.7% | 64.1% | +20.4 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 77.1% | 59.2% | −18.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 45.3% | 29.2% | −16.1 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 47.6% | 31.9% | −15.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 29.1% | 14.6% | −14.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 76.5% | 90.0% | +13.5 |
| Vitória | Champion | 31.3% | 18.4% | −12.9 |
