Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 29 (before the first match) against those on July 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | Relegation | 69.2% | 44.0% | −25.1 |
| ABC | Relegation | 79.8% | 58.6% | −21.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 51.9% | 72.0% | +20.0 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 46.9% | 66.3% | +19.4 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 46.3% | 64.7% | +18.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 64.9% | 47.0% | −18.0 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 19.2% | 36.4% | +17.2 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 47.7% | 31.6% | −16.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 63.4% | 78.7% | +15.3 |
| Sport | Champion | 18.5% | 33.6% | +15.1 |
