Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Promotion | 38.6% | 61.4% | +22.7 |
| Ituano | Promotion | 27.3% | 14.3% | −13.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 16.6% | 3.7% | −12.8 |
| CSA | Relegation | 57.7% | 70.3% | +12.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 14.5% | 2.7% | −11.9 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 80.7% | 90.6% | +9.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 16.6% | 24.2% | +7.6 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 10.2% | 2.9% | −7.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 8.6% | 1.3% | −7.2 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 90.5% | 97.1% | +6.5 |
