Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 20.1% | 5.1% | −15.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 75.6% | 84.4% | +8.8 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 61.4% | 70.0% | +8.7 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 29.9% | 36.2% | +6.3 |
| CSA | Relegation | 70.3% | 64.8% | −5.5 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 15.4% | 10.5% | −4.9 |
| Sport | Promotion | 24.2% | 29.0% | +4.8 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 97.1% | 92.6% | −4.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 94.5% | 97.9% | +3.4 |
