Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 30.3% | 10.0% | −20.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 27.3% | 8.6% | −18.7 |
| CSA | Relegation | 39.6% | 57.7% | +18.1 |
| Ituano | Promotion | 16.2% | 27.3% | +11.1 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 22.5% | 33.1% | +10.6 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 49.1% | 38.6% | −10.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 6.9% | 16.6% | +9.8 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 90.7% | 82.1% | −8.6 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 8.4% | 16.6% | +8.1 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 81.1% | 89.0% | +8.0 |
