Round 3

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NáuticoRelegation50.3%19.0%−31.3
GrêmioRelegation37.5%12.9%−24.6
Ponte PretaRelegation37.3%13.5%−23.8
Sampaio CorrêaRelegation32.8%11.9%−20.9
ItuanoPromotion12.9%33.6%+20.7
GuaraniRelegation32.3%51.6%+19.3
CRBRelegation18.3%36.2%+17.9
Vila NovaRelegation21.9%39.6%+17.7
GrêmioPromotion5.9%23.5%+17.6
Ponte PretaPromotion5.8%23.1%+17.3
Home 54.4%
Draw 23.0%
Away 22.6%
Home 36.4%
Draw 27.9%
Away 35.7%
Home 26.3%
Draw 24.4%
Away 49.3%
Home 44.1%
Draw 25.7%
Away 30.1%
Home 35.2%
Draw 27.7%
Away 37.1%
Home 38.1%
Draw 27.4%
Away 34.5%
Home 35.5%
Draw 27.8%
Away 36.6%
Home 39.0%
Draw 27.2%
Away 33.9%
Home 35.7%
Draw 27.9%
Away 36.4%
Home 30.3%
Draw 25.8%
Away 43.9%