Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Grêmio with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 10 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 36.7% | 11.0% | −25.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 20.4% | 43.4% | +23.0 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 41.6% | 19.9% | −21.7 |
| Brusque | Promotion | 41.0% | 19.4% | −21.5 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 15.3% | 34.9% | +19.5 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 16.4% | 35.8% | +19.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Promotion | 6.7% | 25.1% | +18.3 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 41.8% | 59.7% | +17.9 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 21.2% | 37.5% | +16.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 21.4% | 37.3% | +15.9 |
